Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-04-03

NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

We are entering the final week of the NHL regular season! Each of tonight’s three games has a certain level of playoff implication. From a gambling perspective, I see one value play. Let’s have a look at the complete projections:

APRIL 3, 2017

 

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Maple Leafs

-146

-134

1,68

1,75

 

-3,5%

Sabres

+132

+134

2,32

2,34

 

-0,9%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Senators

-105

-104

1,95

1,96

 

-0,5%

Red Wings

-105

+104

1,95

2,04

 

-4,3%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Canadiens

-140

-160

1,71

1,63

 

5,5%

Panthers

+127

+160

2,27

2,60

 

-12,7%

Tip: Bet the Canadiens.

 

My only pick for Monday night goes to the Canadiens at -140 (decimal 1.71) in Florida. This is not necessarily a “road” game for Montreal since they usually have thousands of fans in attendance when they play in Florida. The proportion of Habs fans will be even greater tonight considering the Panthers are officially eliminated. Montreal has won 7 of their last 10 games in Florida! The Canadiens are riding a 4-game winning streak. They seem to have really turned things around after going through a difficult stretch, as shown their 13-3-1 record since February 25th, which coincides more or less with the replacement of Michel Therrien with Claude Julien as head coach.

 

Things are looking bleak in Panthers land. After winning the Atlantic division title last season, they fired their head coach in late November and have won only 22 games out of 56 since then (a .393 record). Key injuries are also piling on: their top forward Aleksander Barkov, their top defenceman Aaron Ekblad and their first two goalies (Luongo and Reimer) are all hurt and questionable for tonight. Reto Berra is expected to be the starter in net, but no official word yet.

Have a nice week everyone!

Professor MJ