NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

If you tailed my 3 picks from yesterday AND you followed the additional guidelines about the Senators-Bruins and Coyotes-Lightning games (for which the lines were off the board when I wrote the daily report), you should have made some money overall. But if you only bet the 3 recommended picks, you lost all 3 unfortunately. My projections had Ottawa as a profitable bet if the line was +162 (decimal 2.62) or higher: around 3pm you could grab them at +172  (decimal 2.72)! As for Arizona, yesterday’s write up mentioned taking them in case the money line was +247 (decimal 3.47) or higher: it reached around +280 (decimal 3.80) in the afternoon. Both of these big underdogs won, which overcame the losses on the other 3 picks.

There are only 3 games tonight, but quite a few things could be said about them. Let’s see the details!

  

MARCH 22, 2017
	MONEY LINE
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Maple Leafs	+139	+144	2,39	2,44		-2,0%
Blue Jackets	-154	-144	1,65	1,69		-2,7%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Islanders	+115	+143	2,15	2,43		-11,5%
Rangers	-127	-143	1,79	1,70	X	5,2%
Tip: Bet the Rangers (please read important notes below).
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Oilers	+112	+126	2,12	2,26		-6,2%
Ducks	-124	-126	1,81	1,79		0,7%
Tip: No value bet, but please read additional guidelines about this game below.

 

Yet again, I’m betting on the Rangers -127 (decimal 1.79) versus the Islanders, but be careful here. The Rangers were playing last night, and Raanta has started the last 6 games. With Lundqvist injured, it’s not impossible to see their third-string goalie in net tonight. With Raanta in goal, my projections on this game are Islanders +163 versus Rangers -163, while if he doesn’t start I’ve got Islanders +120 versus Rangers -120. As of now, I feel like the current line is profitable. You could tail my bet right now, or if you prefer to wait until the starter is announced you can use the above guidelines. It’s not reassuring that the Islanders have won 6 of the previous 7 meetings with the Rangers. The home team has won each of the three matchups this season. The Rangers have not been good at home (19-15-3), and I believe they will be very focused tonight, especially after losing to the lowly Devils last night. The Islanders are playing on 3 days’ rest.

Cam Talbot has now started the last 12 games for the Oilers. They are playing the first of a back-to-back set, so Brossoit is very likely to play one of them. Which one will it be? Tonight in Anaheim, or tomorrow in Colorado? Here are my projections depending on who starts in net for Edmonton: if Talbot starts we have Oilers +107 versus Ducks -107, whereas if Brossoit starts we have Oilers +148 versus Ducks -148. Bet accordingly. As of now, with the line being Oilers +112 versus Ducks -124, I don’t see any value. Anaheim had won 4 straight meetings with Edmonton, but they have dropped the last 2, including a 4-0 setback at home two months ago.

At first I was taking the Jackets at home against the Leafs, but I just read that Korpisalo is the likely starter because Sergei Bobrovsky was skating with potential scratches this morning (source: Paul Hendrick). That changed my projections quite a bit, and I don’t see any value on either side. Just for fun, I will still give you some quick notes about the game just in case you are considering betting it. The Jackets’ second-leading scorer Alexander Wennberg is a question mark heading into the game. He missed one game because of a stiff neck, but returned to practice yesterday, so all signs are pointing toward him playing tonight. They are riding a 4-game winning streak (in fact they are winners of 7 of their past 8 games). These teams met only once in 2016-2017: Columbus won 5-2 at home. The Jackets have beaten the Leafs on four occasions out of the last 5 previous matchups.

 

Thank you very much for reading!

Professor MJ