Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-06

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NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

March 6th, 2017

Hello fellow NHL fans from around the world!

Today we may have the highest estimated ROI (Return On Investment) on a game since I started making my daily NHL projections. We also have another good value bet. Here are the details:

Date/time: MARCH 6, 2017

 

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Stars

+223

+281

3,23

3,81

 

-15,2%

Capitals

-251

-281

1,40

1,36

 

3,1%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Bruins

-141

+104

1,71

2,04

 

-16,2%

Senators

+128

-104

2,28

1,96

X

16,2%

Tip: Bet the Senators.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Rangers

+109

-153

2,09

1,65

X

26,4%

Lightning

-120

+153

1,83

2,53

 

-27,5%

Tip: BET THE RANGERS!!!

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Sharks

-107

-119

1,93

1,84

5,1%

Jets

-103

+119

1,97

2,19

 

-10,0%

Tip: You could consider betting the Sharks.

 

 Grab the Rangers +109 (decimal 2.09) in Tampa Bay. On one side, New York will be without Grabner and Girardi, while the Lightning have lost Boyle and Filppula via trades. Yes, the Rangers have lost 3 of their last 4 games, but they played some very tough opponents: Columbus, Washington, Boston and Montreal. Their power play has been 1/33 over their last 13 games. It won’t last forever. The Rangers have the best road record in the NHL, including 3 straight.

I’m taking the Senators +128 (decimal 2.28) at home versus Boston. The line fluctuated between +100 and +108 early on to make it a no bet, but at this time of writing it is now up to +128. Since the statistical models view Ottawa as a very slight favorite, this becomes a profitable bet. Both teams have been playing very well recently. The Sens have won 8 of their last 12, while the Bruins are 8-2 since firing Claude Julien. Ottawa has beaten Boston in the last 3 meetings (5 of the last 6).

Betting the Sharks at -107 (decimal 1.93) is a borderline profitable bet. Don’t take odds that are lower than that. San Jose is playing the second of back-to-back games after losing 3-1 in Minnesota last night, which was their first loss in regulation in about a month. Winnipeg was not playing last night, but it will be their third game in four days. Aaron Bell may be in net for the Sharks, but that’s no big deal since he’s been great this year.

 

Have a good Monday!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

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