Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-02-24

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NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

February 24, 2017

Hello fellow NHL fans from around the world!

Here are today’s full projections, as we recommend two bets (with moderation).

 

BOOKMAKER

PROFESSOR MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

Oilers

+171

+192

2,71

2,92

 

Capitals

-190

-192

1,53

1,52

 

 

Edmonton beat Washington 4-1 earlier this season. Adam Larsson is out for the Oilers, but so are Niskanen, Burakovsky and maybe Orpik (he will take the pregame skate) for the Caps.

Final pick: No profitable bet here.

 

 

BOOKMAKER

PROFESSOR MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

Flames

+145

+166

2,45

2,66

 

Panthers

-161

-166

1,62

1,60

 

 

The Panthers are doing well, especially since the return of Barkov and Huberdeau. They have won 8 of their past 10 games. Two things play against Calgary’s favor: they are playing the second of back-to-back games, and Chad Johnson will be in net (4.75 GAA over his past 5 games!). However, it is worth noting that Calgary beat Florida 5-2 earlier this year, and they are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games.

Final pick: No profitable bet here.

 

 

BOOKMAKER

PROFESSOR MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

Senators

+124

+106

2,24

2,06

X

Hurricanes

-137

-106

1,73

1,94

 

 

Ottawa has been playing well of late, winning 5 of their past 7 games. The bad news is they are going to miss 3 key pieces tonight: Mike Hoffman, Mark Stone and Bobby Ryan. However, Carolina sends Eddie Lack in net who posts pretty bad numbers (85.6% save percentage and a 3.89 GAA). The Hurricanes have lost their last 3 home games.

Final pick: Bet the Senators at +124 (2.24) for a ROI of 8.7%.

 

 

BOOKMAKER

PROFESSOR MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

Coyotes

+235

+213

3,35

3,13

X

Stars

-265

-213

1,38

1,47

 

 

Louis Domingue (record of 2-9-1, save percentage 86.8% and a 4.24 GAA, all awful stats) will be in net for the Coyotes. They will playing their second game in as many nights. That’s bad news for Arizona. However, the line is overreacting, in my opinion. Dallas is coming off its bye week (they haven’t played since last Saturday), so they may be rusty. Did you know that teams coming off bye weeks were 4-16 as of February 21st? I’m going to gamble on Arizona here.

Final pick: Bet the Coyotes at +235 (3.35) for a ROI of 7.0%.

 

Enjoy the games!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

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