Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NBA Projections: 2017-03-17

NBA DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

March 17th, 2017

 

Good Friday everyone! Out of 8 games, I have two recommended bets: one is rated 4 stars, while the other is a 1-star bet. Let’s see the details!

MARCH 17, 2017

 

SPREAD

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Mavericks

-4,5

-4,5

-193

-182

1,52

1,55

 

-2,4%

76ers

+4,5

+4,5

+173

+182

2,73

2,82

 

-2,4%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Bulls

+7,5

+10,3

+270

+567

3,70

6,67

 

-25,3%

Wizards

-7,5

-10,3

-307

-567

1,33

1,18

X

20,6%

Tip: Bet the Wizards.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Celtics

-8

-7,5

-357

-309

1,28

1,32

 

-6,5%

Nets

+8

+7,5

+311

+309

4,11

4,09

 

1,7%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Raptors

+3,5

+3,8

+151

+162

2,51

2,62

 

-4,8%

Pistons

-3,5

-3,8

-167

-162

1,60

1,62

 

-0,1%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Rockets

-5

-5,7

-202

-225

1,50

1,44

 

3,4%

Pelicans

+5

+5,7

+181

+225

2,81

3,25

 

-8,1%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Twolves

+4,5

+5,7

+162

+224

2,62

3,24

 

-12,2%

Heat

-4,5

-5,7

-180

-224

1,56

1,45

X

7,5%

Tip: Bet the Heat.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Magic

+3

+2,4

+133

+127

2,33

2,27

 

2,5%

Suns

-3

-2,4

-147

-127

1,68

1,79

 

-7,3%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Bucks

-7

-6,7

-305

-268

1,33

1,37

 

-4,8%

Lakers

+7

+6,7

+269

+268

3,69

3,68

 

-0,1%

Tip: No value bet.

 

 

“GREAT” BET (4 stars / 5):

My first pick goes to Washington -7.5 against Chicago. The Bulls received a tough blow: Dwayne Wade is out for the season with a fractured elbow. On the Wizards’ side, one of their stars has injury concerns too, but things are not nearly as bad: John Wall said he has a 50-50 chance of playing tonight because of a foot injury. Washington has won 2 of the 3 meetings this year: they lost 106-95 in Chicago back in November, won 107-97 in Chicago and won 101-99 at home. In fact, Washington has beaten Chicago 6 times out of the last 9 matchups. The Wizards went on a 22-5 stretch, but have now lost their past two games (in Minnesota and at home against Dallas). I can’t imagine them taking this game lightly. Meanwhile, the Bulls’ mindset might be affected from the loss of Wade for the rest of the year. They have won only 2 of their past 9 games.

 

“PROCEED WITH CAUTION” BET (1 star / 5):

I’m going with Miami -4.5 versus the Timberwolves. Minnesota’s defense has improved vastly of late, but the loss of Nemanja Bjelica might hurt. It must be noted that the Timberwolves have gone 4-3 in the last 7 games against great teams: Utah, San Antonio, LA Clippers, Golden State, Milwaukee, Washington and Boston. Pretty impressive! However, the Heat has been even more impressive. The team went on a bad 4-18 stretch, and then things changed drastically on January 17. They have gone 22-5 since then. What’s strange is all 5 losses were against average teams at best: Philadelphia, Dallas, Indiana and Orlando twice. In the only previous matchup this season, Miami took it 115-113 in Minnesota.

 

Here are a couple of games to keep track of:

  • Bet the Magic if the line moves to +3.5 in Phoenix. They are playing the second leg of back-to-back games, but they got two days’ rest prior to that. Also, the injury bug is hitting the Suns: their second-highest scorer Eric Bledsoe is out, their fourth-highest scorer Brandon Knight is doubtful and Tyson Chandler (their best center) is being benched quite often.
  • I would also pick the Rockets if the line moves to -4.5 in New Orleans.

 

Have a good weekend!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

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