Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NBA Projections: 2017-02-23

Happy birthday... to me!! Click here for the PDF version of the following article.

NBA DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

February 23rd, 2017

 

Hello fellow NBA fans from around the world!

The All-Star break is over. The trade deadline is over. Let’s get to the final stretch of the regular season! Here are today’s projections on this special day for me: my birthday!!

FEBRUARY 23, 2017

 

SPREAD

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Blazers

-2.5

-1.1

-143

-109

1,70

1,92

 

-11,4%

Magic

+2.5

+1.1

+129

+109

2,29

2,09

X

9,6%

Tip: Bet the Magic.

 

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Hornets

+4.5

+4.3

+166

+177

2,66

2,77

 

-4,0%

Pistons

-4.5

-4.3

-185

-177

1,54

1,56

 

-1,6%

Tip: Avoid betting this game.

 

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Rockets

-3.5

-3.4

-163

-148

1,61

1,68

 

-3,7%

Pelicans

+3.5

+3.4

+147

+148

2,47

2,48

 

-0,4%

Tip: Avoid betting this game.

 

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Knicks

+10

+10.2

+476

+538

5,76

6,38

 

-9,7%

Cavaliers

-10

-10.2

-570

-538

1,18

1,19

 

-0,9%

Tip: Avoid betting this game.

 

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Clippers

+13

+12.1

+783

+819

8,83

9,19

 

-3,9%

Warriors

-13

-12.1

-1025

-819

1,10

1,12

 

-2,2%

Tip: Avoid betting this game.

 

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

BOOKMAKER

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Nuggets

-7

-4.5

-310

-180

1,32

1,56

 

-15,0%

Kings

+7

+4.5

+273

+180

3,73

2,80

X

33,2%

Tip: Bet the Kings.

 

“GREAT” BET (4 stars / 5):

According to the statistical models and my own judgement, Sacramento +7 vs Denver is an awesome bet. However, I must admit I’m not overly confident about this one. How much does the trade of DeMarcus Cousins affect the Kings? Of course, it’s a huge deal and they are definitely weaker than they were before. I lowered their chances of winning this game by 20%, which makes my projections to be Denver -180 Sacramento +180. Pinnacle has the Kings at +273 so I feel like I have to take them! The public has been betting 50%-50% on each team so far.

 

“PROCEED WITH CAUTION” BET (1 star / 5):

Again the effects of a trade make it a bit difficult to assess each team’s chances of winning, although it’s not nearly as big of an impact as the Cousins trade. Orlando traded their second highest scorer Ibake in exchange for Terrence Ross from Toronto. I like the Magic at +129 (spread +2.5) and seeing 72% of the money going on the Blazers, it comforts me a little bit more (since I’m a contrarian). Almost rated it as 2 stars.

 

Have a great Thursday everyone and thanks again for reading!!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

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