NFL Week #6 (2018 season)



University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.


 Hello my friends!

We won both of our 4-star plays last week, but lost both of our 3-star picks so we finished the week with a 2-2 record. Our overall record this season is now 9-3, which amounts to a 75.0% winning percentage.

In case you are interested, here is a breakdown of the picks won/lost per star rating thus far this season:

  • 5 stars: 0-0
  • 4 stars: 4-0
  • 3 stars: 3-2
  • 2 stars: 2-1
  • 1 star: 0-0


System on Totals

The method went 1-1 last week, so the season’s overall record now stands at 6-2.

According to this system, we should be taking over 45 Colts-Jets and over 59 Chiefs-Pats.


Week #6 Picks

I have found just two picks worth betting this week, but they are both rated 4 stars. The cost is only $20 USD and you can get them here.

Here are a couple of “leans” (unofficial picks, which are not quite profitable enough):

  • Denver Broncos +7 against the Los Angeles Rams. I am not comfortable laying such a high-octane offense like the Rams. However, notice they could experience a letdown after two key wins over the Vikings and divisional rivals Seahawks in Seattle. The Broncos should be extra motivated after such a flat performance against the Jets.
  • Carolina Panthers +1 at the Washington Redskins. I like the fact that Carolina just played three games in a row at home (well rested), while the Skins are playing on a shorter week after playing in New Orleans last Monday. Washington could also be looking ahead to an anticipated meeting with Dallas. But they could bounce back after a disastrous outing against the Saints on national television.


Thanks for reading and don’t forget to get my top two picks of the week!

Do you prefer getting the Season Package (where you get all of my picks until the end of the regular season)? If so, click here!

Professor MJ