NFL Week #12 (2018 season)

NFL WEEK #12

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

Keep reading until the end because we've got something very unusual happening this week!!

System on Totals

My gosh, this system has been completely collapsing after a hot start! We started 8-2 and have gone 1-8 since, which is shocking! The overall record just fell below .500 at 9-10 (47.4%). This is really a head-scratcher.

There are a couple of plays that meet the criteria for betting this week: over 47.5 Packers-Vikings and over 47 Seahawks-Panthers.

Leans

I've got two free unofficial picks for you this week:

Atlanta Falcons +13 at New Orleans Saints.
      The Saints are 8-2 against the spread this year, so you can't really feel super confident anytime you are laying them. Coming off two very easy wins (48-7 against the Eagles and 51-14 at Cincinnati), I could see them letting down a little bit. Divisional games seem to tend to be tighter in general, and the Falcons did push the Saints into overtime earlier this year. They are coming off a disappointing home loss to Dallas and will be looking to rebound.
Cleveland Browns +3 at Cincinnati Bengals.
    Not only are the Browns coming off their bye week, but they haven't been on the road for three straight weeks.

Week #12 Picks

ALERT!!! We haven't had a single 5-star play thus far in 2018. In a strange turn of events, I've got two picks this week and both are rated 5 stars!!! If you have been hesitating for a while to jump on board, this is the time to do it.

Season record: 17-13 (56.7% winning percentage).

Click here to get my couple of 5-star picks!!

     

    Good luck, fellows!

    Professor MJ