NFL PICK WEEK #13 - Monday Night Football

BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

PICK: Minnesota Vikings +3 at Seattle Seahawks

After an ordinary 2-2 start, the Vikings have gone 6-1 since then. Their only loss during that seven-game stretch was a 26-23 defeat at the Chiefs, on a 44-yard field goal by Harrison Butker as time expired.

If you have been following my work for a while, you know I value the “rest” and “revenge” factors in the NFL. In this case, both point in Minnesota’s direction.

Indeed, the Vikings are coming off their bye week, which is a huge bonus prior to such a key game. Also, Mike Zimmer’s squad will be looking to avenge a 21-7 loss in Week #14 last year. Don’t be misled by the final score, though; the Seahawks were only up 6-0 with three minutes left in the game!

There’s no denying Seattle is a good team; they still hold a 9-2 record! But they haven’t been crushing their opponents, as shown by the fact that 8 of their 9 wins were by one possession (i.e. 8 points or less). As a matter of fact, they have won four games by a margin of just 1-2 point(s), and they came on top on a couple of overtime games.

Minnesota has a point differential of +84 versus +29 for Seattle. However, I’m a bit worried by Seattle having won the past five meetings with the Vikings.

Still, I expect a hard-fought game and I believe the Seahawks have much less than a 50% chance of beating the Vikings by 4 points or more.

 

I'll talk to you again soon!

Professor MJ

(Sports Betting Expert / University Professor / PhD in statistics)