Free NHL Picks for October 14, 2017 by Professor MJ



University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.


Hello all! The best play of the day in the NHL, in my humble opinion, is:

PICK: Buffalo Sabres +152 (decimal 2.52) at the Los Angeles Kings

The Sabres are still looking for their first win of the season after four unsuccessful tries. They came fairly close in their last game in a 3-2 loss at San Jose. One of the league's top young prospects, Jack Eichel, expressed his frustration after the game by mentioning he was really sick of losing. I feel like the motivation level will be high for Housley's squad. In terms of shots on goal, the Sabres have not been bad at all so far this season: they have outshot Montreal by 5, while they have been outshot by 4, 6 and 1 versus the Islanders, the Devils and the Sharks, respectively.

Meanwhile, the Kings are boasting a 2-0-1 record, but they haven't faced a top team yet. To me, they are a middle-of-the-pack team at best because of a lineup filled with players who are relatively slow in a game that is becoming more and more oriented towards speed.

Here is one amazing fact that might concern you if you are considering taking Buffalo like me: the Sabres' last four trips at Los Angeles all ended with the same 2-0 score in favor of the Kings! In other words, Buffalo hasn't scored a single goal there over the last four meeting in California. However, the Sabres have dominated the Kings when playing at home, as shown by their 8-game winning streak in Buffalo. Only 34% of the bets have gone on Buffalo as of Saturday morning.

Have a great Saturday hockey fans!!

Professor MJ