Free NHL Picks for November 9, 2017 by Professor MJ



University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.



Hello NHL fans, today I’m going to provide one value play, and I will also comment the Wild-Canadiens game a little bit (food for thought, in case you are considering betting this game).

PICK: Edmonton Oilers -123 (decimal 1.813) at the New Jersey Devils

Both of these teams are off to a surprising start to the 2017-2018 season, but not for the same reasons.

On one side, you’ve got the Oilers who finished with the 7th most points in the league during the regular season last year, compiling a .573 record. Considering their core players were mostly young (McDavid, Draisaitl and Nugent-Hopkins), many people expected them to be even better this year. As a matter of fact, Vegas’ lines indicated they were going to have a .624 record. However, they have stumbled out of the gate with only 5 wins in 14 games (a .357 record).

That being said, I have no doubt in my mind that they will eventually return to form. Having won two of their past three games, is it the start of a new beginning for them?

Meanwhile, the Devils were projected to finish with the 27th-best record in the NHL this year, but they have been exceeding expectations by a wide margin after winning 9 of their first 11 matches! It was obvious they were not going to sustain this kind of success throughout the year, and I was waiting for them to start tumbling. Now that they’ve lost their last three contests, I wouldn’t be surprised if they go on some kind of bigger losing skid.

In summary, you’ve got the Oilers who seem to be on the rise again, while New Jersey might start struggling a lot more. If the money line on that game had been set prior to the start of the season, you can bet Edmonton would have been much more heavily favored. Take advantage of this line while the Oilers are still being underrated and the Devils overrated.

Please note that Edmonton has defeated New Jersey on five of the previous six meetings, including a 6-3 win six days ago.


A few notes about the Minnesota Wild versus Montreal Canadiens game

Charlie Lindgren has been confirmed as the Habs’ starting goalie. In case you were not aware of it, he was born in St. Paul, Minnesota and he grew up as a Wild fan. Therefore, he will be very motivated, but Montreal will probably be missing Jonathan Drouin, a big loss for the Canadiens.

The Wild have prevailed in all of the past six meetings with Montreal, including a 6-3 victory a week ago in Minnesota. Will the streak continue, or will the Habs finally get revenge?

Minnesota will be playing the second leg of back-to-back games after playing in Toronto last night.

I will be publishing a new article very soon about a specific NHL betting strategy which suggests taking teams coming off a losing streak when facing an opponent that is currently riding a winning streak. I will provide very specific details and criteria that must be met in order for you to pull the trigger, but for now just know that this strategy does not necessarily suggest betting the Wild tonight, but it is close. I am definitely staying away from that game because of the conflicting arguments above.

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Have a good day guys, I hope you liked this write-up!

Professor MJ