Free NHL Picks for November 3, 2017 by Professor MJ



University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.



Hi hockey fans, I’ve got one value play tonight despite only two games being on the schedule. I actually like the bet a lot.

PICK: Edmonton Oilers -164 (decimal 1.61) vs New Jersey Devils

In my humble opinion, there is a huge gap in terms of how well-prepared and how focused these teams will be.

First, let’s consider the Devils. They are riding a three-game winning streak, but they have just faced two pretty weak teams: the Canucks and the Coyotes. Yes, I consider Vancouver as being a lousy club despite their record indicating they’ve won half of their games thus far. Prior to the start of the season, they were projected to finish 29th out of 31 teams according to Vegas’ lines. I don’t believe they will sustain a .500 record in the long run. So to go back to my argument, playing two bad teams in a row is not a good preparation for the following game, especially against a team that was projected to finish in the top 5 in the 2017-2018 season, but that has disappointed so far and will be very hungry at home.

Sure, Edmonton has played well below expectations. But don’t forget they were many people’s pick to win the Stanley Cup. And did you look at the strength of opposition they faced over their past 6 matches? They played Chicago, Philly, Pittsburgh, Dallas, Washington and Pittsburgh again. Wow, that’s tough! Contrary to the Devils, the Oilers will be well-prepared.

I also like how tonight’s game will mark Edmonton’s fourth straight game at home, thus more rest (no traveling). Meanwhile, New Jersey will be playing the second game of a three-game road trip on the West Coast.

The Devils are 5-0 on the road this season, but I’m betting their perfect record end in Edmonton tonight. Teams won’t be taking them lightly anymore with their 9-2 record.

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Good luck and have a nice weekend!

Professor MJ