Free NHL Picks for November 14, 2017 by Professor MJ



University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.



Hello all, I’ve got two profitable bets out of tonight’s 8 NHL games. I will also briefly mention a couple of leans. Enjoy the read!

PICK: Columbus Blue Jackets -104 (decimal 1.96) at Montreal Canadiens

The Jackets halted a four-game losing streak by defeating the Red Wings 2-1 in a shootout. Meanwhile, the Habs are riding with Charlie Lindgren’s hot hand who has only allowed 5 goals in 4 starts! Sergei Bobrovsky has had Montreal’s number of late, as shown by his 2-0-1 record against the Canadiens last year, stopping 95 of 97 shots. I’m not handicapping totals, but betting the under 5.5 at -110 seems enticing to me.

Over the past five meetings between these two clubs, Montreal has only won once, and that victory occurred in overtime. I’m predicting a 3-1 Jackets win including a goal by Artemi Panarin.

PICK: Dallas Stars +111 (decimal 2.11) at Florida Panthers

The Stars have been alternating wins and losses over their past six games, including the last five where the final score wasn’t even close (at least a 3-goal deficit in each case). They suffered a 5-1 loss at Carolina last night, where the Canes managed to score four goals in the final period. I expect the recent trend to continue with a bounce-back performance against a team that has been struggling mightily of late. As a matter of fact, the Panthers have only won a single game over their past seven contests, with the only win happening against the lowly Sabres.

Kari Lehtonen will be in net for Dallas, but I’m not worried about that considering he’s been posting a better GAA and save percentage than starter Ben Bishop. He has been doing a solid job thus far this year.

The road team has won the past five meetings between these two teams, which is quite surprising! The Stars got the victory on four of their last five visits in Florida.


I’m leaning towards the Capitals at +118 (decimal 2.18) at the Preds. Both teams are coming off a winning streak against tough opposition. Indeed, the Caps have just defeated the Oilers and the Penguins, while the Preds have been even more impressive with wins over Pittsburgh, Columbus, Los Angeles and Anaheim. I expect a very tight game, in which case I’m taking the underdog to pull off the small upset.

I also like the line on the Kings at -165 (decimal 1.61) against the Canucks. Los Angeles will be playing a third straight home game, while Vancouver will be on the road for the fourth consecutive time (more travel = more fatigue). The Canucks have been outscored 9-1 over their past couple of games. The Kings won’t take this game lightly despite facing weaker opposition since they have just lost two home games in a row (to the Sharks and Lightning). They will display an all-out effort to avoid losing a third straight game in front of their fans.

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Have a good evening!

Professor MJ