NBA PICKS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

Hello all! It will be interesting to see if the Wizards can get back into their series against the Celtics. Meanwhile, can the Jazz pull off a major upset by beating the Warriors in Golden State? Unfortunately, I don’t see any profitable bet today. Let’s see the projections and I’ll comment a little bit:

 

MAY 3, 2017
	SPREAD		MONEY LINE
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Celtics	+5,5	+4,5	+214	+182	3,14	2,82		5,0%
Wizards	-5,5	-4,5	-240	-182	1,42	1,55		-9,8%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Jazz	+12,5	+12,9	+944	+1011	10,44	11,11		-4,0%
Warriors	-12,5	-12,9	-1300	-1011	1,08	1,10		-0,7%
Tip: No value bet.

The Wizards deserved a better fate. In Game 1 they grabbed an early 16-0 lead, but ended up losing the game after a horrible third quarter. In Game 2, they were up 42-29 through the first quarter, but couldn’t hang on once again. With the score tied they had two chances to get the win in the final seconds of regulation but couldn’t sink the winning basket; they eventually lost in overtime. It’s now time for them to roll up their sleeves and get back up in front of their home fans, where they have done well against the Celtics this season. As a matter of fact, Washington beat Boston by 25 and 15 points at home.

My “Bounce-Back Effect” article is recommending that we bet the Wizards since they have lost the last two games against the spread (ATS) by 4.5+ points. However, had Game 2 not gone into overtime the Wizards would have won ATS so I am going to stay away from that game, especially considering my statistical models are closer to a Celtics pick (projected spread Wizards -4.5 versus actual spread Wizards -5.5). Note that Celtics guard Avery Bradley was limited in practice yesterday, but he is fully expected to play tonight.

Cheers!

Professor MJ