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BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

The only game on the menu in the NBA is Game 5 of the Wizards-Celtics series. Let’s see the projections:

 

MAY 10, 2017
	SPREAD		MONEY LINE
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Wizards	+4,5	+5,3	+159	+208	2,59	3,08		-8,6%
Celtics	-4,5	-5,3	-177	-208	1,56	1,48		3,9%
Tip: No value bet.

I am staying away from that game because of conflicting arguments. The home team has won all eight meetings this year (4 in the regular season, 4 in the playoffs). You might also be tempted to bet the Celtics because they lost the previous game by 14 points against the spread (ATS) and the next-to-last match by 21.5 ATS according to the winning strategy described in my Bounce-Back article.

Wizards forward Markieff Morris said “We’re the better team and we feel like we’ve been the better team.” If you take a closer look at the margins of victory in this year’s eight matchups, it’s hard to argue with him. Boston’s wins came by 9, 8, 12 and 10 margins, whereas Washington’s victories were by 25, 15, 27 and 19 points. That’s not even close.

For all of the above reasons and the fact that my projected lines are fairly close to the actual ones, I don’t see any value.

Enjoy the game!

Professor MJ