Free NBA Picks for May 1, 2017 by Professor MJ

FREE NBA PICKS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

Hello all! We have two more second-round series getting under way tonight in the NBA and I’ve got one value bet which is rated 3 stars. Let’s have a look!

MAY 1, 2017

 

SPREAD

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Raptors

+6,5

+4,7

+264

+196

3,64

2,96

X

12,5%

Cavaliers

-6,5

-4,7

-300

-196

1,33

1,51

 

-17,2%

Tip: Bet the Raptors.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Rockets

+5,5

+5,3

+205

+209

3,05

3,09

 

-0,7%

Spurs

-5,5

-5,3

-230

-209

1,43

1,48

 

-4,0%

Tip: No value bet.

 

“GOOD” BET (3 stars / 5):

I’m betting the Raptors +6.5 at the Cavaliers. The season series went 3-1 in favor of Cleveland, but their only loss occurred in the season finale, a game in which both teams rested several key players. In other words, the Cavaliers won all three meaningful games but the total combined margin of victory was 11 (they won by 4, 4, and 3 points). As of 9am, 67% of the bets on the spread and 77% of the bets on the money line have gone Cleveland’s way. Despite the unbalanced action, the line hasn’t moved yet. That’s something I like to see. Worried about the fact that Cleveland is the more rested team after having swept Indiana while the Raptors were involved in a six-game series? Over the past 9 seasons, teams coming off a sweep were 3-3 against the spread in Game #1 of the next round when facing a team that won its previous series in six games. The sample size is small, but nothing to scare me away from betting Toronto. Also remember HOW the Cavs eliminated the Pacers: they won by 1, 6, 5 and 4 points against a weaker Indiana team.

 

Have fun watching the games!

Professor MJ