NBA PICKS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

Only three first-round series are not over yet in the NBA; Game 6 is presented tonight in each case. Will we get a chance to watch a seventh and decisive game on Sunday? I hope so! I’ve got one value play to recommend today, which is rated 3 stars. Here are the full details:

APRIL 28, 2017
	SPREAD		MONEY LINE
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Wizards	+3	+2,1	+137	+121	2,37	2,21		4,9%
Hawks	-3	-2,1	-152	-121	1,66	1,83		-9,7%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Celtics	-2,5	-4,3	-137	-176	1,73	1,57	X	15,0%
Bulls	+2,5	+4,3	+124	+176	2,24	2,76		-19,9%
Tip: Bet the Celtics.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Clippers	+5,5	+5,4	+219	+229	3,19	3,29		-2,0%
Jazz	-5,5	-5,4	-246	-229	1,41	1,44		-2,9%
Tip: No value bet.

 

“GOOD” BET (3 stars / 5):

I’m betting the Celtics -2.5 in Chicago. Rajon Rondo’s status is clear this time around: he has officially been ruled out of Game 6. After winning the first two games on the road, the Bulls looked in good position to become the sixth #8 seed to upset a #1 seed in the first round of the NBA playoffs. Now, they have their backs against the wall and need a win to force Game 7 at the TD Garden two days from now. Since the 2003 playoffs, teams leading the series 3-2 playing on the road as favorites by at most 5 points (i.e. the spread on the road team was between -0.5 and -5) are 33-18 against the spread (a 65% win percentage). Boston has won the last three games of the series by an average margin of 12.3 points. The only thing I don’t like too much about this play is the fact that 82% of the bets on the spread have gone on Boston thus far. That is not surprising at all: the public may be overreacting to the three straight wins by Boston, combined with the Rondo injury. In other words, the line may be a bit inflated but I am still going to take the Celtics in this one.

Cheers!

Professor MJ