Free NBA Picks for April 24, 2017 by Professor MJ

FREE NBA PICKS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

Hello all! I took Sunday off to spend time with my family, but I’m satisfied with the Friday and Saturday results (we won our 5-star bet on the Rockets +2.5 at the Thunder – just barely since they lost by 2 points but a win is a win! – lost our 4-star bet with the Wizards +3 and won our 3-star bet on the Raptors at Milwaukee). So far we are 7-4 in the playoffs and tonight I am suggesting one bet whose rating is 3 stars:

APRIL 24, 2017

 

SPREAD

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Bucks

+6

+6,9

+214

+279

3,14

3,79

 

-8,9%

Raptors

-6

-6,9

-240

-279

1,42

1,36

 

4,3%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Wizards

+2,5

-1,6

+123

-115

2,23

1,87

X

18,9%

Hawks

-2,5

+1,6

-136

+115

1,74

2,15

 

-23,7%

Tip: Bet the Wizards.

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Warriors

-7

-6,5

-295

-258

1,34

1,39

 

-6,5%

Blazers

+7

+6,5

+260

+258

3,60

3,58

 

1,7%

Tip: No value bet.

 

“GOOD” BET (3 stars / 5):

I was stubborn a few days ago with the Raptors and it paid off: after picking them in Game 3 and getting embarrassed in Milwaukee, I picked them again in Game 4 and they came back with a nice win. Let’s see if it is going to work with tonight’s pick as well as I’m going with the Wizards +2.5 in Atlanta. They lost badly in Game 3, trailing 38-20 through one quarter and losing the game 116-98. I’m expecting Washington to bounce back after losing by 15 points against the spread, which meets my criterion about betting teams in the playoffs that have lost the previous game by at least 12.5 points against the spread. As mentioned in previous posts, I expect to write an article about that this week. I would have picked Washington anyway because my statistical models are telling me to do so. It just reinforces my opinion on this pick.

Have a good day!

Professor MJ