Free MLB Picks Thursday June 1, 2023

ALERT! ALERT! We have another MLB pick backed by “The Scoring Drought” betting system which has produced 13 straight winning bets! Overall this season, this moneymaking betting strategy has generated an awesome 16-3 record.

First, let me remind you how it actually works. It recommends betting AGAINST the road team if they have lost their past two games by scoring two runs or less in each of those defeats. There is one final criterion that must be met in order to trigger a bet: the road team in question must be a pretty big underdog. More precisely, its moneyline has to be above +150 in American format, which corresponds to 2.50 in decimal odds.

In other words, this betting angle only backs big home favorites. That is not something I like to do, but given the absurd amount of money it has produced over many seasons, I had no choice but to start listening to its advice.


SYSTEM PICK #1: New York Mets (@ -165 odds, vs Philadelphia Phillies)


All right, now how does this apply to one of today’s games? Let’s take a look at Philadelphia’s recent schedule. They did lose their past two contests by scoring only 1 and 0 runs in those games.

Since they are indeed on the road today, and their moneyline is above +150 with many sportsbooks, we gotta FADE them. For this reason, today’s first system pick goes to the New York Mets. Is this an official pick, a lean or should we stay away from it?

At the time I wrote this post, around 9 am Eastern Time, the most advantageous line was -165 with BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Party Poker.

You might notice how Philly’s line was NOT above +150 with these bookies. However, I was seeing +159 with, +155 with BetRivers, Unibet, Sugar House and Barstool, and +153 with Pinnacle and BetOnline. In short, there were also plenty of bookies that met the criterion of being a “big” underdog.

It is interesting to note that the Mets have won 17 of the past 22 meetings between these two clubs. That’s quite impressive!

The Phillies also present a 3-7 record the last 10 times they faced a right-handed pitcher, while the Mets own a great 8-2 record under the same circumstances. New York has also performed at a high level at home recently since they are riding a seven-game winning streak in their stadium.

Philadelphia will send former-Met Taijuan Walker to the mound. This is a bit concerning to me since he know the opposing batters very well, but he hasn’t had too much success this season. His 5.57 ERA and 1.46 WHIP statistic are both way above league averages, which isn’t a good sign.

Meanwhile, the Mets will counter with Max Scherzer. After dealing with a suspension earlier this year, along with some neck spasms, he seems to have settled in. He has allowed either 0 or 1 run in five of his past six starts, which is mind-boggling! He will be hard to beat at home this afternoon.

Let’s go for a 14th consecutive win by “The Scoring Drought” betting system, shall we? All the evidence is telling me I’ve got to make it an official betting pick for today.

For your information, the Diamondbacks almost qualify under this betting strategy as well. However, Colorado’s moneyline is not quite high enough to trigger a bet, and even if they did the problem is that we have “The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup” system supporting the Rockies. I am staying away from this game.

Final decision: Official pick


SYSTEM PICK #2: Houston Astros (@ -177 odds, vs Los Angeles Angels)

The only other system play in Major League Baseball for today, Thursday June 1st, is the Houston Astros at home against the Angels. After backing three underdogs yesterday, we are now on a couple of favorites today. Do I view it as an official pick, a lean or a play to avoid? Let’s find out.

Reid Detmers will square off with Framber Valdes. The Angels’ starter does not have very good numbers, but I found it strange to realize he has allowed either 2, 3 or 4 earned runs in all of his nine starts this season. This means he has not had any great game, but no ugly outings either.

Meanwhile, Valdes continues to be a freaking beast. His 2.38 ERA and 1.04 WHIP statistics are rock solid. He has picked up nine quality starts in 11 tries.

Detmers has done relatively well in his career against Houston, as shown by his 3.98 ERA. On the other side, Valdes has posted a 3.73 ERA when facing the Angels, which is not great news.

For some reason, I don’t feel as good about this potential wager as I do with the Mets bet that I proposed earlier. I prefer to be cautious and I’ll rate the Astros play as a “lean” instead.

Final decision: Lean


There will be more games on the menu tomorrow, so I should have a greater number of betting picks to share with you. Make sure you don’t miss out tomorrow’s post.

I’m Professor MJ, have a great day amigo!