Free MLB Picks Thursday August 10, 2023
We had our third straight winning day with a 2-1 record with our MLB bets on Wednesday, including a big hit at +144 odds on the Tigers who pulled off the upset by a 9-5 score.
Way to go, guys!
SYSTEM PICK #1: Minnesota Twins (@ -149 odds, at Detroit Tigers)
Now, let’s not sit on our laurels and get back to work. After taking Detroit yesterday, I’m going to fade them today. Indeed, my top MLB pick for Thursday August 10 goes to the Minnesota Twins to rebound in a big way against the Tigers at 1 pm Eastern Time.
This pick is backed by “The Hot Bats” betting system that recommends betting AGAINST the home team if they have won their past two games by scoring 6+ runs in each of those victories. In the current case, the Tigers are indeed at home and they won their past two contests by scoring 9 and 6 runs, respectively.
So, according to the rules of “The Hot Bats” betting strategy, we’ve got to put our money on their opponents, the Twins.
I also like the pitching matchup quite a bit. On the surface, Kenta Maeda doesn’t have great numbers. He owns a 3-6 record, along with a 4.22 ERA. But I believe he is being under appreciated for its true value.
The league average in terms of the WHIP statistic is 1.30. Maeda’s figure sits at 1.16, which is much better than average.
Moreover, Maeda has been dazzling for more than a month. If you take a look at his past eight outings, he has not allowed more than three runs in any of them! During this time period, he obtained an impressive 2.47 ERA. He’s very solid and reliable, and I’m pretty sure he can shut down the league’s second worst offense, the Tigers.
Meanwhile, Detroit will counter with 24-year-old rookie Reese Olson. He has done a pretty good job overall this year with a 1.17 WHIP stat. But in his last three starts, he has surrendered 4, 4 and 5 runs. He has given up at least one homerun in each of his past four outings.
So, in summary, the Twins have the better offense, they have the better starting pitcher, and they have extra motivation to get some revenge after dropping the first two games of the series in Detroit. I wouldn’t be surprised if Minnesota won this game by a good margin.