NFL Super Bowl LVIII Proposition Bets (Chiefs vs 49ers - 2023 regular season)

SUPER BOWL LVIII PROP BETS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 


I often mention that the most profitable bets of the year are the Super Bowl prop bets.

With such a high number of bets offered, there are always lines that are not very accurate. Astute gamblers can then take advantage of them.

Every year, I devote 50-to-100 hours to find good value wagers.

 

Over the past four Super Bowls, we have crushed it in a big way via an astounding 72-41-1 record (despite taking many bets at positive odds).

 

Without further ado, here are the bets I shared for Super Bowl LVIII (Chiefs vs 49ers).

 


SUPER BOWL PROP BET #1 (WIN)

 

Longest TD under 41.5 yards @ -110 odds (or 1.91 in decimal) with DraftKings sportsbook and also @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction sportsbooks

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +7.9%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -130 (or 1.77 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -148
  • William Hill Canada: Under 38.5 yards at -118 odds
  • Bet365: Under 37.5 yards at -115 odds
  • BetRivers/Unibet/ESPN Bet/LeoVegas : Under 38.5 yards at -108 odds

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #2 (LOSS)

 

Will the opening kickoff be a touchback? NO @ +275 odds (or 3.75 in decimal) with BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction sportsbooks, @ +265 odds (or 3.65 in decimal) with DraftKings, @ +250 odds (or 3.50 in decimal) with Caesars / all William Hill USA sportsbooks.



Estimated ROI with those odds: +8.8%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: +245 (or 3.45 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: +235
  • William Hill Canada: +163
  • Betway: +220
  • Heritage: +224
  • BetRivers/Unibet/ESPN Bet/LeoVegas : +232

 

Note : According to Josh Inglis from Covers.com, the opening Super Bowl kickoff has resulted in a touchback just 3 times over the past 31 years. The league uses a commemorative ball for that purpose, and it tends to be very stiff, heavier and harder. Let’s hope we cash on those big odds!

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #3 (LOSS)

 

Brock Purdy under 31.5 passing attempts @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Bet365 sportsbook, @ -120 odds (or 1.83 in decimal) with Bet99, BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction sportsbooks.



Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.8%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -122 (or 1.82 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -142
  • Pinnacle: -130
  • Betway: -134
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -139
  • BetRivers/Unibet/ESPN Bet/LeoVegas : -134

Note : Purdy attempted under 31.5 passes in 15 of 18 games this year (regular season and playoffs combined).

 

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #4 (LOSS)

 

Will either team miss a FG attempt? YES @ +140 odds (or 2.40 in decimal) with BetRivers, Unibet, Sugar House, LeoVegas and Casumo sportsbooks.



Estimated ROI with those odds: +7.1%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: +124 (or 2.24 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: +110
  • Betway: +110
  • BetOnline: +110
  • FanDuel: +108

   

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #5 (LOSS)

 

Will the San Francisco 49ers rush for a TD? YES @ -250 odds (or 1.40 in decimal) with FanDuel sportsbook

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +7.4%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -330 (or 1.30 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -413
  • William Hill Canada: -450
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -400


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #6 (WIN)

 

Under 4.5 sacks @ +100 odds (or 2.0 in decimal) with BetRivers, Unibet, Sugar House, LeoVegas and Casumo sportsbooks, or Under 5.5 sacks @ -140 odds (or 1.714 in decimal) with Mise-O-Jeu sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +8.4%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -118 (or 1.85 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

 

UNDER 4.5 SACKS:

  • Bookmaker: -140
  • Pinnacle: -125
  • William Hill Canada: -130
  • BetOnline: -140
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -130

UNDER 5.5 SACKS:

  • Betway: -200
  • Bet365 : -180

 

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #7 (WIN)

 

Team to score the longest touchdown: San Francisco 49ers @ -105 odds (or 1.95 in decimal) with BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction sportsbooks, @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Betway, Caesars, all William Hill USA sportsbooks, @ -120 odds (or 1.833 in decimal) with Bet365, Mise-O-Jeu, BetOnline and DraftKings sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +6.4%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -120 (or 1.833 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -153
  • BetRivers/Unibet/ESPN Bet/LeoVegas : -139

 


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #8 (WIN)

 

Deommodore Lenoir (SF) over 4.5 tackles+assists @ -105 odds (or 1.95 in decimal) with Caesars and all William Hill USA sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +5.4%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -117 (or 1.855 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -135
  • BetMGM/bwin/Sports Interaction: -130
  • DraftKings: -166
  • BetOnline: -130
  • Betway: -160
  • Bet365: -130
  • BetRivers/Unibet/ESPN Bet/LeoVegas : -139

 


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #9 (WIN)

 

Travis Kelce (KC Chiefs) over 70.5 receiving yards @ -110 odds (or 1.91 in decimal) with Bet365 sportsbook, @ -113 odds (or 1.885 in decimal) with BetRivers, Unibet, Sugar House and LeoVegas sportsbooks, @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Bet99 sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.9%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -117 (or 1.855 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -130 (over 71.5 yds)
  • BetMGM/bwin/Sports Interaction: -125
  • DraftKings: -125
  • BetOnline: -130 (over 72.5 yds)
  • Betway: -134
  • Pinnacle: -130
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -135

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #10 (WIN)

 

Team to score the longest field goal: Kansas City Chiefs (Harrison Butker) @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Bet365 and Betway sportsbooks, @ -118 odds (or 1.85 in decimal) with BetRivers, Unibet, Sugar House and LeoVegas sportsbooks.

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.4%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -121 (or 1.83 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -133
  • FanDuel: -138
  • William Hill Canada: -130
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -130


SUPER BOWL PROP BET #11 (WIN)

 

Ji’Ayir Brown (SF 49ers) over 5.5 tackles+assists @ -124 odds (or 1.81 in decimal) with BetOnline sportsbook, @ -125 odds (or 1.80 in decimal) with Caesars and all William Hill USA sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.1%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -130 (or 1.77 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -138
  • BetMGM/bwin/Sports Interaction: -150
  • DraftKings: -145
  • FanDuel: -134
  • Bet365: -140
  • William Hill Canada: -163
  • BetRivers/Unibet/ESPN Bet/LeoVegas : -137

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #12 (LOSS)

 

Will the Kansas City Chiefs score points in their 1st drive? YES @ +135 odds (or 2.35 in decimal) with Bet365 sportsbook, @ +130 odds (or 2.30 in decimal) with Betway sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +6.3%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: +121 (or 2.21 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • ESPN Bet: +100
  • DraftKings: +100
  • BetOnline: +120
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -105
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : +115

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #13 (WIN)

 

Will there be a 2 point conversion attempt? NO @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Mise-O-Jeu sportsbook, @ -140 odds (or 1.714 in decimal) with DraftKings sportsbook and @ -150 odds (or 1.67 in decimal) with ESPN Bet sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +14.2%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -157 (or 1.64 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -175
  • BetMGM/bwin/Sports Interaction: -165
  • Betway: -175
  • Pinnacle: -170
  • Jazz Sports: -190
  • William Hill Canada: -175
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -175


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #14 (WIN)

 

Will the Chiefs score a TD in the 1st quarter? NO @ -130 odds (or 1.77 in decimal) with Caesars and all William Hill USA sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.6%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -138 (or 1.725 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -145
  • Betway: -165
  • DraftKings: -150
  • Mise-O-Jeu: -164
  • Bet365: -160
  • Pinnacle: -145
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -152

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #15 (LOSS)

 

Most time of possession: Kansas City Chiefs @ +120 odds (or 2.20 in decimal) with Mise-O-Jeu sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +5.3%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: +109 (or 1. in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: +103
  • Betway: -110
  • DraftKings: -110
  • BetOnline: -115
  • William Hill Canada: -105
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -110

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #16 (WIN)

 

Will there be a defensive or special teams touchdown? NO @ -250 odds (or 1.40 in decimal) with Mise-O-Jeu sportsbook, @ -265 odds (or 1.38 in decimal) with Jazz sportsbook, @ -275 odds (or 1.36 in decimal) with Betway sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.8%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -276 (or 1.362 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -328
  • Pinnacle: -310
  • FanDuel: -355
  • William Hill Canada: -350
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -350
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -335

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #17 (WIN)

 

Brandon Aiyuk (San Francisco 49ers) under 62.5 receiving yards @ -110 odds (or 1.91 in decimal) with FanDuel and Jazz sportsbooks. You could consider taking under 59.5 yards at -105 odds (or 1.95 in decimal) with Caesars and all William Hill USA sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +5.3%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -123 (or 1.813 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: Under 59.5 yards at -113 odds
  • DraftKings: Under 59.5 yards at -115 odds
  • BetOnline: Under 59.5 yards at -114 odds
  • Pinnacle: Under 59.5 yards at -114 odds
  • Bet365: Under 59.5 yards at -110 odds
  • Bet99: Under 59.5 yards at -115 odds


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #18 (LOSS)

 

Brock Purdy over 0.5 interceptions, i.e. he will throw at least one interception @ -120 odds (or 1.833 in decimal) with William Hill Canada, BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction sportsbooks, @ -122 odds (or 1.82 in decimal) with FanDuel, BetRivers, Unibet, Sugar House and LeoVegas sportsbooks. Borderline acceptable: -125 odds with Bet99 and ESPN Bet sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.0%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -125 (or 1.80 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -136
  • Jazz: -155
  • BetOnline: -150
  • Pinnacle: -137
  • Betway: -141
  • Heritage: -154
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -140

 


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #19 (LOSS)

 

Total yards of first completion by Brock Purdy (San Francisco 49ers) under 10.5 yards @ -122 odds (or 1.82 in decimal) with FanDuel sportsbook, @ -125 odds (or 1.80 in decimal) with DraftKings sportsbook. You could also consider taking under 7.5 yards at +155 odds (or 2.55 in decimal) with Caesars and all William Hill USA sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +3.9%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -133 (or 1.75 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -138
  • Pinnacle: -146
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -152

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #20 (WIN)

 

Christian McCaffrey (SF 49ers) first rushing attempt over 3.5 yards @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with DraftKings sportsbook, @ -120 odds (or 1.83 in decimal) with BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.7%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -122 (or 1.82 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -132
  • Pinnacle: -133
  • Jazz: over 4.5 yards at -130 odds
  • FanDuel: -132


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #21 (LOSS)

 

Deebo Samuel (SF 49ers) over 4.5 receptions @ -122 odds (or 1.82 in decimal) with FanDuel sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +3.2%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -131 (or 1.76 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -141
  • BetMGM/bwin/Sports Interaction: -145
  • DraftKings: -135
  • BetOnline: -143
  • Pinnacle: -146
  • Bet365: -140
  • Bet99: -145
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -140
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -136
  • Heritage: -153
  • Jazz: -155

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #22 (LOSS)

 

Justin Reid (KC Chiefs) under 6.5 tackles+assists @ -140 odds (or 1.714 in decimal) with ESPN Bet sportsbook, @ -145 odds (or 1.69 in decimal) with BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.0%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -147 (or 1.68 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -156
  • Pinnacle: -160
  • DraftKings: -166
  • Betway: -173
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -160

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #23 (LOSS)

 

Tashaun Gipson (SF 49ers) under 4.5 tackles+assists @ -145 odds (or 1.69 in decimal) with DraftKings sportsbook, @ -150 odds (or 1.67 in decimal) with Bet365, William Hill Canada, BetMGM, bwin, Borgota, Sports Interaction, Betway and ESPN Bet sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.0%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -152 (or 1.657 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Pinnacle: -170
  • Bookmaker: -158
  • BetOnline: -167
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -160
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -165

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #24 (WIN)

 

Over 1.5 total field goals made in first half @ -124 odds (or 1.81 in decimal) with BetRivers, Unibet, Sugar House and LeoVegas sportsbooks, @ -125 odds (or 1.80 in decimal) with Bet365 and Mise-O-Jeu sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.1%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -131 (or 1.763 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -145
  • Pinnacle: -136 (they are the two sharpest bookies!)

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #25 (LOSS)

 

Jauan Jennings (SF 49ers) under 1.5 receptions @ -130 odds (or 1.77 in decimal) with Bet365 and ESPN Bet sportsbooks, @ -134 odds (or 1.75 in decimal) with Betway sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.3%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -137 (or 1.73 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -143
  • Pinnacle: -145
  • BetMGM/bwin/Sports Interaction: -150
  • DraftKings: -150
  • BetOnline: -150
  • FanDuel: -140
  • Mise-O-Jeu: -150
  • Bet99: -150
  • Jazz: -160
  • William Hill Canada : -150

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #26 (WIN)

 

Over 1.5 field goals made by Harrison Butker (KC Chiefs) @ -110 odds (or 1.91 in decimal) with ESPN Bet sportsbook, @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Bet365 and Bet99 sportsbooks. Borderline acceptable: -120 odds (or 1.83 in decimal) with DraftKings sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +4.5%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -121 (or 1.83 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -132
  • BetMGM/bwin/Sports Interaction: -135
  • Heritage: -133
  • Pinnacle: -129

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #27 (WIN)

 

Patrick Mahomes (KC Chiefs) over 36.5 passing attempts @ -110 odds (or 1.91 in decimal) with Bet99 sportsbook, @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Mise-O-Jeu sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.9%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -117 (or 1.854 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -128
  • DraftKings: -125
  • Heritage: -137
  • Betway: -125
  • Bet365: -130
  • Pinnacle: -128
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -130
  • ESPN Bet : -125


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #28 (LOSS)

 

Isiah Pacheco (KC Chiefs) longest rush over 15.5 yards @ -105 odds (or 1.95 in decimal) with BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction sportsbooks, @ -110 odds (or 1.91 in decimal) with Bet365, FanDuel, Mise-O-Jeu and ESPN Bet sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +3.6%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -113 (or 1.885 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -118
  • Pinnacle: -123 (the sharpest bookie in the world)
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -125


SUPER BOWL PROP BET #29 (WIN)

 

Dre Greenlaw (SF 49ers) under 8.5 tackles+assists @ -110 odds (or 1.91 in decimal) with William Hill Canada sportsbook, @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Bet365 and Heritage sportsbooks, @ -120 odds (or 1.83 in decimal) with BetMGM, bwin, Borgota and Sports Interaction.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +6.8%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -127 (or 1.787 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -150
  • Pinnacle: -135
  • BetOnline: -157
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -140
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -150

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #30 (WIN)

 

Christian McCaffrey (SF 49ers) longest reception over 13.5 yards @ -120 odds (or 1.83 in decimal) with Bet365 sportsbook, @ -125 odds (or 1.80 in decimal) with DraftKings, William Hill Canada, Bet99, BetMGM, bwin, Borgota, Sports Interaction, Caesars and all William Hill USA sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +2.2%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -126 (or 1. in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: over 14.5 yards at -121 odds
  • Pinnacle: -142 (the sharpest bookie in the world)
  • Jazz: over 14.5 yards at -130 odds

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #31 (LOSS)

 

Total punts in the game under 7.5 @ -110 odds (or 1.91 in decimal) with Betway sportsbook, @ -120 odds (or 1.83 in decimal) with Mise-O-Jeu sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +4.9%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -122 (or 1.82 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -138
  • Pinnacle: -127
  • DraftKings: -145
  • BetOnline: -140
  • FanDuel: -142
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -145
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -129

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #32 (PUSH)

 

Team with longest kickoff return: KC Chiefs @ -160 odds (or 1.625 in decimal) with Jazz and Heritage sportsbooks, @ -163 odds (or 1.61 in decimal) with William Hill Canada, @ -180 odds (or 1.555 in decimal) with Caesars and Betway.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +8.0%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -198 (or 1.505 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Pinnacle: -223 (the sharpest bookie in the world, so I will trust them here!)

  


 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #33 (WIN)

 

The largest lead by either team will be under 14.5 points @ -120 odds (or 1.833 in decimal) with Mise-O-Jeu sportsbook. Borderline acceptable: -130 odds (or 1.77 in decimal) with William Hill Canada. You could also consider taking under 13.5 points @ +137 odds (or 2.37 in decimal) with Bookmaker.eu.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +3.0%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -128 (or 1.78 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Pinnacle: -140
  • Jazz: -155
  • BetOnline: -145
  • FanDuel: -152
  • Betway: -165
  • Heritage: -150
  • Caesars/William Hill USA: -140
  • ESPN Bet: -145

 

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #34 (WIN)

 

Will the 49ers have a made 4th down conversion? YES @ +104 odds (or 2.04 in decimal) with FanDuel sportsbook.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +5.9%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -108 (or 1.926 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Bookmaker: -113
  • Heritage: -130
  • DraftKings: -125
  • BetOnline: -115
  • Pinnacle: -119

 

SUPER BOWL PROP BET #35 (WIN)

 

Patrick Mahomes (KC Chiefs) over 4.5 rushing attempts @ -115 odds (or 1.87 in decimal) with Caesars and all William Hill USA sportsbooks, and @ -118 odds (or 1.85 in decimal) with FanDuel. Borderline acceptable: -125 odds with Betway and Jazz sportsbooks.

 

Estimated ROI with those odds: +3.1%

 

Minimum acceptable odds: -123 (or 1.813 in decimal).

 

Odds from another online sportsbook (which shows you the bet above is indeed a bargain):

  • Pinnacle: -132
  • BetMGM/bwin/Sports Interaction: -135
  • DraftKings: -135
  • William Hill Canada: -150
  • Heritage: -164
  • Bet365: -145
  • Bet99: -150
  • ESPN Bet: -150
  • BetRivers/Unibet/Sugar House/LeoVegas : -136

Professor MJ

(Sports Betting Expert / University Professor / PhD in statistics)